IT Job Market and US National Employment Data

2013 IT Salary SurveyIT job market prospects are tied to the US national employment data -- Janco predicts that 75,400 net new IT jobs will be created in 2018

IT Job Market and US National Employment Data - On a monthly basis - typically on the first Friday of the month - Janco publishes an analysis of the IT Job Market utilizing the BLS labor data and its proprietary data. See the latest press clipping go to Janco's Press Clippings and

Recent IT Job Market size

The salary survey is updated twice a year; once in January and then again in July. Janco and not only look at base salaries, they also report on total compensation and hiring trends for IT professionals.

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You can get a free copy of the full survey if you provide 10 valid data points and use a corporate e-mail address. Free e-mail accounts like gmail or yahoo do not qualify as we have no way to verify the accuracy of the data provided.

IT Job Market growth will be greater in 2018 than the 58,700 new jobs added in 2017

The number of IT Jobs added in 2016 was 71,900 and 112,500 in 2015 new jobs. 2017 was a disappointment with a little under 60K net new IT Jobs created. In 2018 59,500 jobs were added in the first 10 months of the year and we forecast that another 14,000 will be added in the last 2 months of this year.

Anual IT Job Market Growth

With the existing business climate in the U.S., we forecast that as total of approximately 73,500 new IT jobs will be created in calendar year 2018.

Forecast of Annual IT Job Market Growth

The rate of hiring is still high for IT Pros. However, the change in that rate of increase shows that many IT organizations are absorbing the individuals hired and are not increasing the the number of new hires. They are filling existing positions.

IT job market growth by class of jobs

When Final December YTD 2017 is compared with December YTD 2016 there were 13,200 fewer new IT jobs created in 2017 than 2016. Much of that is due to an adjustment in the Telecommunications job market.

YTD IT Job Market growth

In the first ten (10) months of 2018 40,400 more new jobs were created than the same time in 2017.

IT Job Market growth 2018

IT Job Market Segmentation
See IT Job Families

Hiring Plans for IT Professionals

In the fourth quarter of 2017 many CIOs were holding back on hiring to fill new positions for IT Pros. That has changed with the passage of the recent tax legislation business are much more optimistic. The hiring picture is much more optimistic for IT Pros.

Future IT Hiring Plans

Based on Janco's interviews and survey data the following positions are in high demand.

Jobs in Demand

Approximately 85,000 undergraduate degrees are issued for majors in Information Technology. Read on about Career Opportunities

U.S. Department of Labor National Employment Report

IT job market size increased in October with 9,500 new jobs and 67,700 jobs added in the last 12 months.

The BLS reclassified jobs that are in the Telecommunication to Computer Systems Design and related services which is why the individual classifications show a large change last year.

With the massive fires in the west and the recent hurricane, in our professional opinion we believe that in those markets, growth in the number of new IT jobs will be slower. There are some signs that the recovery is slowing

Net change in IT job market growth

In interviews with both CIOs and HR professionals since the election, Janco has found CIOs to be more optimistic about the probability of increased IT spending and hiring. The data on the number of IT jobs created in the prior two months was increased by the BLS.

Year to year comparison of IT job market growth

CIOs say short term hiring and long term prospects are improving

Job growth in the IT job market growth increased slightly in September.

IT Job Market Gains

The three month moving average for IT job market growth trend for IT Professionals is down slightly. That metric is the change rate in increase and/or decrease in the total number of new hires. What it means is that CIO and HR recruiters are continuing to hire at the same rate as in prior months when hiring demand increased significantly. When that metric falls below zero then hiring demand will fall back to previous levels.

Moving average of IT job market growth

Janco's CIO Hiring Plan Forecast are up. Many IT organizations have open requisitions for IT pros that they are not able to fill because of the lack of good candidates. The number of positions filled at the staff level in prior months was high and IT departments are focusing in on absorbing new IT pros that were hired and are adding as many new positions in the short term.

IT Hiring TrendJobs Added

IT Job Market Employment Trends

The IT job market grew by 9,500 jobs last month. Over the past 12 months 67,700 IT jobs were created according to the latest BLS data. Telecommunication continues to be a drag on the job market for IT Pros as 24,100 jobs were lost in the last 12 months.

The impact of the "trade war" does not seem to be great at this time.

IT job market improves - hiring up

It is very clear that telecommunication professionals are in a shrinking job market -- there is no end in sight. For the first time in several quarters the Telecom job market was flat , with no jobs lost. However Verizon has started another reduction in force program.

IT job market improves - hiring up

Prior Months IT Job Market Changes Adjustments.

Adjustments to the number of IT jobs created were made by the BLS for the prior two months. A total of 5,900 job were subtracted from the BLS data for the prior two months.

IT job market improves - hiring up

Labor Force Participation

The work force participation percentage of all employees (male and female) is 62.9%. There still are 95,792,000 (unadjusted) people who are not in the labor force.

Work Force Participation

The Labor Force Participation percentage has stabilized at one of it lowest points in the last 50 years. The trend line is positive.

Labor Participation Rate in the low 60's

Labor Force Participation rate stabilized at lowest level in the last 50 years

95.792 million people in the U.S. are not working - see reasons why not working

There are rumblings that a recession is just beyond the horizon are getting louder. Reasons why people are not in the labor force are varied.

US National Employment

The US National unemployment rate has fallen from its peak levels in 2012 to the current levels. However this needs to be tempered with the fact that the labor market participation rate remains at the lowest it has been in over 30 years.

US unemployment rates

Since the change of administrations, job growth seems to be on an upward trend. In 2017 IT job growth has been positive 12 out of 12 months.

Initial number of new jobs reported

State Unemployment

The National unemployment data provides a measure of the health of the over-all labor market. A more granular metric is one that considers local condition - i.e. state and local unemployment.

High unemployment states Current Month vs prior Month

In September 2018 there were 2 states with an unemployment rate of over 5.5%. That is the same as it was last month.

High unemployment statesCurrent Year versus prior year

States with the Lowest Unemployment -- Full Employment States

Several states have very low unemployment rates. In June there were 30 states that we considered high unemployment states.

Full employment states Current Year versus prior year

States with low unemployment rates Current Month vs prior Month

US Federal Government Compensation Cap

US Federal Regulations set limits on how much companies can get reimbursed for the salaries they compensate their management. Companies can pay more, but cannot charge the government for the amounts paid above the limit. For many years, the caps only applied to the top 5 executives, but the rule changed in December 2011, and now the cap applies to all employees, not just the top 5 executives.

Federal Govement Compensation Cap

H-1B Visas

Offshore outsourcing companies continued to make up the majority of the top H-1B visa applications according to new government data. These offshore firms have been adding employees by the thousands as their revenues increase. Infosys (India based) led the list in 2014 with 23,759 visa applications with a median salary for those positions $72,254, edging out Tata (India based) which had 14,098 visa requests-with a median salary for those positions $66,600.

Both of those salaries were well below the median salary ($81,583 in 2014) for IT potions. The overall median salary for the top 30 enterprises that filed for H-1B visas was $77,027.

H-1B Visas

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If you provide ten or more job title data points you will qualify to get a free copy of the full study. If you have any questions on the survey send us an e-mail at Janco Associates, Inc.